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The outcome of today’s heated presidential contest will likely come down to the votes cast in the 106 counties George W. Bush won in 2004 and President Barack Obama won in 2008, according to the Associated Press. (There’s a reason Obama and Mitt Romney have spent the last year campaigning in only a handful of states). The thirteen counties that swung most dramatically between Bush in ’04 and Obama in ’08 may be the most decisive of all.
We set out to answer a simple question: Who are the voters in those all-important thirteen counties?
Based on vote returns from the last three general election cycles and demographic information from the latest U.S. Census, we’ve put together a Decision 2012 cheat sheet. Below you’ll find everything you need to know about the thirteen counties that may decide who wins the White House in just a few hours.
Arapahoe County, CO
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
Waits are very long at voting location in Arapahoe County, CO, according to Amanda Kost for 7News:
The wait to vote at Arapahoe County CentrePoint Plaza is so long…that this is happening:VIDEO: #Election2012 telly.com/39T5D
— Amanda Kost, 7NEWS (@AmandaKost) November 6, 2012
Jefferson County, CO
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
Earlier today in Jefferson County, CO. fights over candidates and traffic concerns, the Denver Post reports:
In Colorado, Jefferson County cops broke up a fight between brother-in-laws, brawling over candidates this morning. denverpost.com/politics/ci_21…
— Dan Frosch (@djfrosch1) November 6, 2012
Osceola County, FL
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
Photos from voting spots in Osceola County, FL from @anedka:
No line is Robert Guevara Community Center at Osceola county#2012Election twitter.com/anedka/status/…
— Aned(@anedka) November 6, 2012
This how Osceola county community center looked this morning #2012Election twitter.com/anedka/status/…
— Aned(@anedka) November 6, 2012
Pinellas County, FL
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
After misinformation about how much time voters would have to place ballots, some more concerns out of Pinellas County, FL. There have been some power outages from a storm in the county, but no impediment on the voting process: Tampa Bay Times reports:
Power outages in Pinellas County cause concern about polling sites tampabay.com/news/politics/… via @tb_times
— Donna Brazile (@donnabrazile) November 6, 2012
Hillsborough County, FL
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
Updates on the power outage in Hillsborough County, FL Supervisor of Election Office:
Power is back on at the Hillsborough County Supervisor of Election office, just in time for folks getting out of work. #TampaBayVotes
— ABC Action News (@abcactionnews) November 6, 2012
Cumberland County, NC
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
Wake County, NC
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
Wake County, NC voters show off their post-voting stickers:
We just voted – did you? #election2012 @ Wake County Southern Regional Center instagr.am/p/Rsuf9wpK_i/
— Brent & Anna (@liveviewstudios) November 6, 2012
I made a difference today… What did you do? @ Wake County Southern Regional Center instagr.am/p/RsuxthSpFQ/
— Matt Huffman (@c0zy_mittenz) November 6, 2012
Hillsborough County, NH
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
Tuscarawas County, OH
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
Hamilton County, OH
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
Alex Triantafilou, chairman of the Hamilton County Republican Party in Ohio, says that the race is going “to be very close in this county.”
President Obama won Hamilton County in 2008, so the Republican Party has “a lot of ground to make up in a county that is demographically trending for the Democrats,” says Triantafilou. But there has been “heavy turnout, especially in Republican neighborhoods,” he says, adding that there are still long lines all over the county.
Chester County, PA
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
Valerie Jester from Chester County, PA voted around 9 a.m. this morning. She says “the voter turnout was strong” and that “everyone at my polling place was smiling and the mood seemed to be very upbeat,” more upbeat than she has every seen before.
“When everyone feels that their vote may truly make a difference, the importance of the act becomes much greater and significant for the voter,” says Jester.
Even though the day has been high in spirits, Jester is glad it is coming to a close. “This has been a very long campaign, one that I am happy to have behind us,” she said.
Prince William County, VA
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
From our Election Day Live Blog:
Voter knows how much his vote counts in Prince William County, VA.
Prince William County & Loudon County will determine the battleground state of Virginia…PW is where I vote instagr.am/p/RsK4sZiHxx/
— TYSON (@SiCeN_TYSoN) November 6, 2012
Richland County, WI
The census data only show the proportions of the demographics noted. This chart does not reflect the entirety of local population.
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